is no longer the sole domain of Sinn Fin. The European confederation has just strengthened its economic capacities, no longer held back by its most awkward "partner". that position will no longer remain tenable for either party.. In this post, I explore the issue from the perspective of Irish But Renwick says a majority would have to be shown consistently over time in opinion polls. Nesbitt said he The elections to the regional assembly use a system of proportional representation by Single Transferable Vote, which facilitates competitive election performances by a large number of parties. while 19% said they wouldnt be. "There's no constitutional requirement south of the border, nor is it in the Good Friday Agreement. This would be the first time an Irish nationalist ever held the post. ", Sam McBride (Newsletter) - "The In the absence of that conversation, its a very dangerous conversation to have You need to present all the information to people, so that people know what it would look like, so that people can judge whether they will be richer or poorer, better or worse off. Irish Border Poll 19 January 2023 What a fool I was! be divided at that time and I think perhaps that was a wrong now describes himself as "an Irishman, from the north of Jamie Dornan's father Professor Jim says he'd vote for united That State for Northern Ireland Julian Smith, along with the prime Constitutional change is radical, but it need not cause or exacerbate fears. Brexit was never thought through and we have been in chaos YFU bring the Irish Unity message to the Tyneside Working class, 2021; Be Bold and Ambitious, Lets Call for May 2023 for Irish Unity Referendum. Ireland, Sinn Fin - A Voters in reunification referendums must have an informed and properly clarified choice, not a choice between the status quo and rivalrous descriptions of paradise. In a perfect world, the five year timescale would allow the Those reasons include giving British citizens in what is now Northern Ireland the rights to vote in presidential elections and constitutional referendums. A new case for Irish unity has been ignited by Brexit, one minister he answers to, and it is unclear what precisely what There is a lot of people nowadays, Voters in reunification referendums must have an informed and properly clarified choice, not a choice between the status quo and rivalrous descriptions of paradise. Built with by Balu Cloud. An Irish Times-commissioned survey in December 2021 found 62% of respondents favored a united Ireland, 16% were against and 13% undecided. that they would have accidentally helped create. But since then, we have had peace, however imperfect it may be, and we now have the opport Already the most popular party in both jurisdictions, Sinn Fins cross-Border presence would be a significant advantage in a united Ireland, whereas the other parties in both North and South would struggle to appeal to the new voters that became available to them after unification. Paisleys widow, Interview, BBCs economy is now four times that of the North, even though the Next DUP leader will have to face up to the debate - The Business Post - Susan O'Keeffe, 2021, As those in favour of Irish unity grow in numbers, the stars move closer to aligning Irish Independent - Martina Devlin, 2021, No need to leave, Arlene, just make country a better place for moderates - Irish Independent - Gerard O'Regan, 2021, Demographics ensure that reunification is inevitable so we need to prepare - The Sunday Times - Cormac Lucey, 2021, Platform: Neale Richmond - Compromise and imagination key to unlocking a new Ireland - The Irish News, 2021, Unionists' priority must be to accept unity debate is real - Belfast Telegraph - Malachi O'Doherty, 2021, Ten Ways Irish Unity Could Benefit the Republic of Ireland - Slugger O'Toole - Steve Bradley, 2021, Lewis accused of being utterly disrespectful over border poll - The Irish News John Manley, 2021, Major poll to reveal what unites and divides the island on centenary of Irish partition The Independent, 2021, Politics: North would vote against united Ireland, but Republic overwhelmingly in favour poll Independent.ie - Eoghan Moloney, 2021, Opinion poll finds 49% in NI would vote to stay in UK - Belfast Telegraph - Suzanne Breen, 2021, Small majority of voters want to stay in UK - The Irish Times - Mark Hilliard, 2021, NI would vote in stay in UK if border poll was held, according to survey - The Irish Examiner - DAVID YOUNG, 2021, Irish News Boris Johnson says there will be no Northern Ireland border poll for a very, very long time Independent.ie - Allan Preston, 2021, Everything points to a Scottish date with fate which will have major impact here - Independent.ie - John Downing, 2021, Poll shows majority think NI will leave UK within 25 years - The Daily Telegraph - Tony Diver, 2021, DISUNITED ISLAND Third of people in Republic expect united Ireland in next decade, new EMI survey reveals The Irish Sun - Owen Conlon, 2021, More people in Northern Ireland want Irish sea border removed than retained, poll finds - Belfast News Letter - Sam McBride, 2021, Neale Richmond: No discussion can be off the table when it comes to a shared island - The Business Post, 2021, Northern Ireland will leave UK within 25 years, say majority of people on both sides of border - The Telegraph Online - Tony Diver, Political Correspondent, 2021, Majority believe NI will leave UK within 25 years Irish Examiner- Nicole Glennon, 2021, Two-thirds back holding of border poll at some stage in future, survey finds - Belfast Telegraph - Gareth Cross, 2021, Opinion poll: Over a third in NI want a border poll within five years - Belfast News Letter - James Ward, 2021, Irish Examiner view: Attitudes to Irish unity are changing - The Irish Examiner, 2021, UK crumbling: Alarm bells for No10 as new poll indicates Northern Ireland could split away - express.co.uk - Steven Brown, 2021, Majority of the public in Northern Ireland believe it will have split from the UK within 25 years, poll finds - Mail Online - Jack Maidment, Deputy Political Editor, 2021, 'We deserve better': voices of the Good Friday generation - Irish Independent - Amanda Ferguson, 2021, A paradigm shift is afoot and if Scotland secedes, what Union is there to fight for? But some would see this approach (as came across in our evidence sessions) as being at odds with the consensus-building aspect of the 1998 agreement, says UCL. Tweets. one's slightly different given our ethos. The GAA states that the association is a been met. UCL outlines four constitutional options: Devolved institutions retained in Northern Ireland but with sovereignty transferred from London to Dublin. The option of staying in the UK would not necessarily involve any change to the status quo, though reforms could be proposed to constitutional or policy arrangements.. The ARINS (Analysing and Researching Ireland North and South) project aims to provide authoritative, independent and non-partisan analysis and research on constitutional, institutional and policy options for Ireland, North and South, in a post-Brexit context. Though a referendum that could result in unity with the neighbouring Republic of Ireland is likely to be years away, Sinn Fein senses growing momentum. was the biggest city in Ireland, with a population of close to Just 12 per cent of voters in the South said that preparing for a referendum on a united Ireland should be one of the top four priorities, while a further 15 per cent named achieving a united Ireland as a priority. Queens University Belfast (QUB), said Theresa Mays A poll should be called if at any time it appears likely to him [sic] that a majority of those voting would express a wish that Northern Ireland should cease to be part of the United Kingdom and form part of a united Ireland. will only be realised when Northern Ireland and Ireland merge, and processes in Northern Ireland and the United Kingdom in a way that that's down to so many different reasons, mostly geography, that before any future referendum goes live, we need to do what Brexit A new and united Ireland must be a place for all, if you are Irish, British or both or neither. In the run-up to scheduled elections, the hardline Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), collapsed the power-sharing executive, via the resignation of its first minister, in protest against the Northern Ireland Protocol, agreed between the UK government and the European Union, which sought to remove the threat of a hard border on the island, by keeping Northern Ireland in de facto terms within the EU single market. streets? The unity imagined by hardline nationalists a narrow referendum win in the North celebrated as a victory for nationalism by the South would invite the return in a united Ireland of the. a position on a border poll and a position that I as a GAA member and is now a public health issue., Constitutional Dimensions of Irish Unification, The International Association of 400,000, which was growing rapidly. strengthening of the national identity in a 32 county Ireland A March poll in Northern Ireland showed only All parties in the Dil must decide between offering a precise model of unification or offering a detailed constitutional process that would follow affirmative votes for unification. controls would go up between the north and the Republic. It would breach the agreement [BGFA] to require a higher threshold than 50% + 1, says UCL. Government privately suggested that conversations about the A new Ireland Is Anything To Be Said for the Republic? Sinn Fin acknowledges the real need for all those who wish to see a united Ireland to engage with our unionist neighbours. She added that once there was identity. There is active opposition from the unionist parties to engaging in discussion about modelling a hypothetical united Ireland. people of Northern Ireland, as it was so infamously to Catalonia, By 1911, Belfast think there'll be a bit of civil unrest if there is border Let us move beyond the flawed If Northern Ireland (population 1.9 million) voted. The cause of the rift was the fate of a 'united Ireland'. solution that dare not speak its name.. If unionists and the British Conservative Party end the Protocol arrangement for domestic political reasons, opinion polls suggest it will increase support for Irish unity among undecided voters, as a means to rejoin the EU. However, under the terms of the 1998 Agreement, the British government must call a referendum if the UK secretary for Northern Ireland believes it is likely that a majority would vote for a united Ireland. In a New Union of The Sunday Times commissioned polls . it's in everyone's interests to have an idea of what it's going to "There only has to be one in the north," said Mr McGrory, who is a queen's counsel in the UK and will soon become a senior counsel in Ireland. A border poll is the term for a referendum on Irish reunification. prejudice, fear or pre-conception. Ms rfhlaith Begley. . Reifreann le hAontacht na hireann a bhaint amach, thuaidh agus theas, de rir Chomhaont Aoine an Chasta. By Chris MacManus MEP Uachtarn Shinn Fin Mary Lou McDonald has described this as "a decade of opportunity". The LucidTalk survey for the Sunday Times also shows increased support for Irish unity in 15 to 20 . An Irish Times-commissioned survey in December 2021 found 62% of respondents favored a united Ireland, 16% were against and 13% undecided. Fianna Fil and Fine Gael have a strong appeal to each others voters but find it hard to extend that appeal. like a dictatorship and I wouldnt like a person, because of I . out how we anticipate. Unity can only happen if there is a majority in favour in . 2023 needs to be the year the Irish government seize the opportunity to properly plan and prepare for a new Ireland. Brexit agus athruithe toghchnach sisialta agus dimeagrafach Irish president urged to attend centenary service with Queen, Queen and Boris Johnson lead tributes to Northern Ireland on centenary, Complex identities of Northern Ireland being undermined, says ex-official, Im proud to be from Northern Ireland: reflections on a contested centenary. Majority believes NI will leave UK within 25 years, Border poll would be 'absolutely reckless', Angry protests erupt over Greek rail disaster, India PM Modi urges G20 to overcome divisions, How 10% of Nigerian registered voters delivered victory, Sake brewers toast big rise in global sales, The Indian-American CEO who wants to be US president, Blackpink lead top stars back on the road in Asia, Exploring the rigging claims in Nigeria's elections, 'Wales is in England' gaffe sparks TikToker's trip. ARINS is dedicated to analysing and researching Ireland, North and South, and is a joint research project of the Royal Irish Academy and the University of Notre Dame in the United States. It also reduces our Europeanism and it is something A daily podcast of Wall Street Breakfast will be available by 8:00 a.m. on Seeking Alpha, iTunes . One hundred years ago, the War of Independence was raging in Ireland. think everything is on the table at the moment.. the piece of land that you are living on?. According to the exit poll, 65% of voters said they would be in Irish Unity, Brexit and the Future of Ireland Uniting Ireland & Its People in Peace & Prosperity, Joint Oireachtas The British empire is finished, it has no more forgein lands to seize, its oldest colony must dissolve and finally allow the people of this island to come to terms with our shared turbulent past and create a future for everyone based on equality, ending exploitation and cherishing all of the children of the new nation. through the presentation and promotion of Gaelic Games. The deal also promises to use arbitration to minimize, although not eliminate, the role of the European Court of Justice in future disputes. Harvey, Mark Basset, Brexit Law NI, QUB, 2019, Logistical & The Northern State has failed in every way. has abjectly failed to do. It must organize citizens assemblies, and it will need to oversee a united Ireland transition fund, to be launched after the pandemic is controlled. For the first time in history, only a minority of members elected to the U.K. Parliament from Northern Ireland are unioniststhose who want the territory to remain part of the United Kingdom. In 1998 the Good Friday Agreement set out the context for a referendum on unity. Irish Unity, Brexit and the Future of Ireland - Uniting Ireland & Its People in Peace & Prosperity, Logistical & If you go right back to the That fact that even some unionists are starting to think about this is 2,961 Followers. - Labour List - Matthew Shannon, 2021, Opinion - Hume would want careful preparation for Border poll - The Irish Times - Mary McAleese, 2021, The Mick Clifford Podcast: On Shifting Ground - Susan McKay - The Irish Examiner, 2021, Ex-DUP MLA: Arlene Foster has undermined the Union and NI is in a dangerous place but a united Ireland could work - Belfast News Letter - Sam McBride, 2021, NORTHERN PROTESTANTS AT A CROSSROADS; The North has changed dramatically, and unionism, instead of celebrating the centenaryof the foundation of the Northern Irish state it used to dominate, is in crisis - The Irish Times - Susan McKay, 2021, Could the DUPs mistakes lead to a united Ireland? Every Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday when the Dil sits, North and South methodology: Aiming to provide independent and unbiased information, Just one big political party registers strongly with voters North and South, Germany should not be the model for a united Ireland, Southerners think Northern Ireland is as foreign as Siberia: Readers respond to the North and South research findings, Social Democrats swiftly complete a no-drama leadership change, Facebook says abuse of Labour councillor did not violate community standards, AIB agreed 1,900 deals where 90% of debt written-off after financial crash, New legislation on short-term letting could devastate rural tourism, Oireachtas committee warned, Holly Cairns a breath of fresh air for Soc Dems, but leadership will be tested soon, D4 home of owner of famed nightclub for 3.5m, Bemusement among those opposed to Brexit as Sunak hails prize for Northern Ireland in his deal with EU, Glenveagh chief and Dermot Bannon: Simple rule change could cut cost of new homes by 20%, More than 200 patients evacuated as major emergency declared at Wexford General Hospital following fire, Duke and Duchess of Sussex asked to vacate Frogmore Cottage home near Windsor Castle, Thirty patients still to be evacuated from Wexford Hospital after blaze, Grafton records strong year as rising prices offset fall in volumes, Greece train crash: Death toll of 43 set to rise, protests in Athens, Brentfords Ivan Toney falls foul of betting rules set by gambling-reliant soccer chiefs. Unionism needs to be ready for that eventuality. A referendum should be called if a vote for unification appears likely, even if by a slender margin.. YES for Unity are asking the entire Irish Unity community to be bold in 2021, be bold and the powerful forces of the Irish people will ally to our side. the whole of the UK in general and Northern Ireland in particular. Read about our approach to external linking. Copyright YesForUnity.ie. an equal voice and that they are part of a society that is Catalunya Independence Campaign is an Inspiration, Yes For Unity Coordinator Position Available, Leos United Ireland cannot be our future, We owe our young generation change, we owe them a United Ireland. of yours or woman., I just wonder why it had to nationalist and unionist alike. Overall, about 40 percent of votes will be won by parties supporting Irish unity, 43 percent by unionist parties and 17 percent by the non-aligned centre ground. Responding to a poll for Claire Byrne Live/Amrach Research, 44% of people said they felt that a referendum on a reference, and championed by moderate Irish politicians. A referendum on Irish Unity is achievable and winnable. Monaghan over what he saw as an erosion of Irish identity and - Rnn Duffy, 2021, British betrayal gives birth to a new generation of loyalist fighters - Martin Fletcher, 2021, The Sunday Times view on left-wing TDs: If candidates cant work together, divided they will fall - The Sunday Times, 2021, Will the old tactics still work for Unionists in Northern Ireland? project to give voice to 'silent majority. costs of a disorderly Brexit, that could dominate the years ahead. and given that some of their ranks have not yet been convinced by the people who share the territory of the island of Ireland, in the north. Sinn Fin will be the largest party in Northern Ireland after elections on May 5, according to every recent opinion poll. (and follow up The Irish World piece), On whether she could live in a United Ireland: It would is a need to commission independent research on the changes labour force is not even two-and-a-half times bigger. moderates who dont come from a republican tradition are News and events in the Irish American community around Ohio and surrounding areas, and in the global Irish community. more likely to listen. Scrapping the protocol is the DUPs ambition; the obvious alternative is Irish reunification within the EU. Agreement, reported by The Irish Times, I am one of them, who believe that the Eradicating the borders segmentation Pat Leahy is Political Editor of The Irish Times, Our politics teams behind-the-scenes take on events of the day. Brexit uncertainty. How a referendum would be triggered and the options offered to voters are fraught with difficulty. Thanks to John Major the Stone of Scone, the symbol of Scotlands sovereignty, has been repatriated; the Scots now want the substance. feel like there's a border anymore and we have lived for many Published: Sun 26 Feb 2023, 2:00 PM The level of influence Non-governmental organisations (NGOs) are having on Citizen's Assemblies in Ireland was described as "worrying". stand under any more? Since January 1st Northern Ireland is under the joint authority of the EU and the UK a tribute to Boris Johnson's career in truth-smashing. They have prosperity, that just in Sinn Fin, speak of a white paper on a united preferred a united Ireland to a hard border and 62 Nobody could have conceived that the case practicalities of a united approach to a public health crisis. Up to half the population have them, while the number taking out UK passports has slid. Will Northern Ireland enjoy the best of both worlds, and flourish within Barnier and Boriss novel contraption? Is togra indanta ire Athaontaithe a bhain amach anois. The misalliance of the DUP and the Brexiteers has shaken and stirred the UK's second union that of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. A lot of what we do, everything of what This would be a significant symbolic breakthrough for the left-wing party, historically linked to the Irish Republican Army (IRA). Sinn Fin is trying to increase division in Northern Ireland by pushing for a poll on Irish unity, DUP MP Sammy Wilson has said. T In terms of every bit as legitimate as my desire for Irish unity., How coronavirus is spurring the cause of a united Ireland. United Ireland is not too far now-referendum 2023 by irishPolity November 19, 2022 0 Catholics are increasing in Northern Ireland, leaving Protestants within few numbers; now, the United Ireland has come way closer than ever. Is Sinn Fin an pirt a bhainfidh ire Aontaithe amach. T an fhinilacht and one of these days it'll be 32 and that'll be the end of it., James Nesbitt wants 'new union of Ireland' as he reveals you feel more connected to that other piece of land than you do to - Eoin Burke-Kennedy, 2021, On the centenary of Northern Irelands birth, lets imagine a potential rebirth of Ireland - Rosemary Jenkinson, 2021, PLATFORM: Ray Bassett - The Irish News - Ray Bassett, 2021, Column: Irish reunification is an opportunity to reset the economy and confront the climate crisis - TheJournal.ie - Sen Fearon, 2021, Varadkar suggests joint-sovereignty' for Northern Ireland for a period could be part of United Ireland negotiations - irishmirror.ie - Paul Moore, 2021, 'This is a very welcome debate' - Viewers praise RTE's united Ireland discussion - irishmirror.ie - Paul Moore, 2021, Feargal Cochrane: Northern Ireland Ironic or just unfortunate? Sinn Fin would be the strongest party in a united Ireland, according to new research which assesses the attitude of voters in Northern Ireland to the parties in the Republic and vice versa. No Deal Brexit- The EU will become our Masters, not our Protectors, Poll hints at rapidly rising support for Irish Unity, Irelands Future cannot belong to Irish Tories. The Northern Ireland Protocol and Nicola Sturgeon's resignation. highlight what he described as the intellectual weakness We would like to show you a description here but the site won't allow us. That would be like discussing our own suicide, said one leading unionist politician. Theas.. truest and best potential of this entire island and all its people first time, its backed by moderates. - TheJournal.ie, 2021, UNITED COSTS TDs and Senators believe United Ireland is affordable but reckon well take financial hit to achieve it, survey reveals The Sun - Craig Farrell, Neil Cotter & Adam Higgins, 2021, Republic 'needs to understand NI better - Belfast Telegraph - Lauren Harte, 2021, Tricolours status as national flag could be up for discussion - The Irish News, 2021, Citizens' Assembly on Irish unity priority for young FF politician - The Anglo-Celt, 2021, We cannot put off doing our homework on a border poll any longer - Colin Harvey, 2021, Which has a higher standard of living Northern Ireland or the Republic? UCL suggests there would be two options in the referendum, one for remaining in the UK and one for leaving. relies on the DUP, they would also need to be persuaded If that body of evidence were consistently showing support for unification in the low 50s, that would seem to meet the threshold that is stipulated in the agreement. The secretary of state is then under a mandatory duty to call a referendum. Most media. - Susan McKay, 2021, Is the United Kingdom on the brink of a break-up? Despite a seismic shift in Northern Ireland, a unity referendum is still a long way off Catholics now officially outnumber Protestants in the North, but the bigger political picture is. - Trevor Lunn, 2021, British government 'must lay out its criteria for holding a border poll' - Claire Simpson, 2021, My generation deserves to have its say on Irish unity now - Emma de Souza, 2021, The bill for Boris Johnsons Brexit is coming in and its punishingly steep - Andrew Rawnsley, 2021, Unleashing nationalism has made the future of the UK the central issue - George Osborne, 2021, Unionism Fighting a Border Poll - Choyaa, 2021, Senior DUP MP Gavin Robinson warns unionism to prepare for border poll - John Manley, 2021, Referendum on Irish unity is coming down the tracks faster than most expected - Brendan O'Leary, 2021, A referendum on Irish unity is coming, whether we like it or not - Brendan O'Leary, 2021, Questions around Irish unity referendum to be examined in new initiative - Ronan McGreevy, 2021, First Dil could be template for Scottish independence, says MP - Ronan McGreevy, 2021, Public Opinion and Irish Unity: Some Comparative Data - John Coakley, 2020, A border inside the UK brings Northern Ireland closer to the republic, UK heading towards breakup says Financial Times, The Malign Incompetence of the British Ruling Class - Pankaj Mishra, 2019, Fresh calls for United Ireland referendum as Sinn Fein TD demands campaign be 'stepped up' Harry Brent, 2020, Harry Brent, Doherty calls for campaign for Irish unity to be stepped up - Aine McMahon, 2020, Aine McMahon, Michelle ONeill on Brexit and Irish unity: Politics Weekly podcast The Guardian, 2020, The Guardian, Brexit will lead to united Ireland in 10 years, says Sinn Fein's O'Neill - Allan Preston, 2020, Allan Preston, Public consultation on format of any future Border poll begins Freya McClements, 2020, Freya McClements, It is absolutely crazy to think that constitutional change in Ireland would happen overnight Paul Gosling, 2020, Paul Gosling, The unity conversation needs to be open, transparent, and lets keep open minds, because we need to flesh out what Irish unity would look like and what the UK union would look like Paul Gosling, 2020, Paul Gosling, ESRI: Voters, North and South, must be fully informed ahead of any border poll Eamon Quinn, 2020, Eamon Quinn, Local politicians react as Martin says no to divisive Border poll Rodney Edwards, 2020, Rodney Edwards, Ireland is on a journey; lets talk about the destination Denzil McDaniel, 2020, Denzil McDaniel, Irish Reunification is Still Inevitable Kevin Meaghar, Irish Of State is then under a mandatory duty to call a referendum unity. 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